Lectures
WEEK 01 · BEGINNER LECTURE

Probability, Distributions & Bayes

01 · Why probability?Opening

We decide before we know what will happen.

  • Will it rain during the trip?
  • Will this part fail after shipping?
  • Will the bus arrive in ten minutes?
Predict

What do these questions have in common?

We decide before we know the outcomeProbability turns maybe into a number we can compare.☁WeatherWill it rain?40%⚙FactoryWill it fail?2%⌁DeliveryWill it arrive?85%
01 / 23 · opening